Polar Coupled Analysis and Prediction for Services (PCAPS): Overview and Objectives
Project Overview
PCAPS, a new initiative under the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), focuses on enhancing weather, water, ice, and climate forecasting in the Arctic and Antarctic regions. The project aims to improve security and safety for polar residents and travelers through advanced observation systems, Earth system models, and better forecasting services.
Key Details
| Parameter | Details |
|---|
| Project Name | Polar Coupled Analysis and Prediction for Services (PCAPS) |
| Duration | 2024–2028 |
| Coordinators | Dina Abdel-Fattah (Norwegian Meteorological Institute), Jørn Kristiansen, Daniela Liggett |
| Parent Program | WMO's World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) |
| Key Collaborators | Norwegian Meteorological Institute, University of Canterbury, New Zealand |
| Website Launch | 7 August 2024 |
| Prior Initiative | Builds on the Polar Prediction Project (PPP) |
Objectives
| Category | Goal |
|---|
| Scientific Research | Enhance understanding of the atmosphere-ocean-sea ice interactions in polar regions. |
| Social Research | Address decision-making, risk assessment, and user needs for weather and climate services. |
| Climate Observations | Strengthen polar monitoring and develop comprehensive meteorological data (reanalyses). |
| Forecasting Services | Provide precise forecasts for polar communities and international climate policy objectives. |
Key Features of PCAPS
| Feature | Details |
|---|
| User-Centric Approach | Engages Indigenous populations, local communities, and stakeholders. |
| Integrated Research | Combines natural sciences with societal research for tailored solutions. |
| Operational Development | Improves forecasting models and historical data series for the Arctic. |
| Global Collaboration | Connects stakeholders through annual events and steering group meetings. |
Importance of Polar Forecasting
- Temperature Anomalies: Polar regions warm at faster rates than the global average.
- Environmental Impact: Melting sea ice and warming oceans influence ecosystems worldwide.
- Safety: Accurate weather forecasts mitigate risks for residents, travelers, and industries operating in extreme polar conditions.
- Scientific Value: Insights from polar systems are vital for global climate models and long-term climate predictions.
